The primary factors that drove prices higher in 2005 remain operative.
It's the constant increases year after year after year that overwhelmed the market. You're looking at a market that might be capable of $350 or $360 (an ounce), and that has bottomed for some time.
It's a complicated process and we're still working on it.
The key factor in the first half of 1999 will be sluggish demand for industrial commodities. That will keep markets under wraps and make rallies short-lived.
I have not seen a better fundamental atmosphere for gold since the early 1980s. This metal is increasingly being viewed as an asset class and an alternative asset. It is also a flight-to-safety vehicle and an inflation hedge.
Gold will continue to attract funds as an alternative asset. The dollar seems likely to be defensive for a while, and the trend in oil remains positive.
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You have to definitely question the demand prospects for industrial commodities. That likely will lead to lower [price] levels.
The shipping community wants to have some comfort that the transfer will be a seamless one and that Panamanian authorities have seized their responsibility to run the canal in a professional way.
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