For 2006, I see very strong German exports and increasing investment, but I don't think it will have a big impact on the labor market and that's why consumption will remain relatively weak.

253

The data from the German states suggests that the increase in inflation at the start of the year is lower than expected so that partly offsets the pressure for a rate rise.

200

We'll see strong increases in consumption towards the end of the year because of the VAT effect. The World Cup will also play a role.

198

German manufacturers have rather good support from the orders side. In addition, they reduced their debt and financing conditions have improved.

179

We would expect the seasonally adjusted total to decline in the coming months, but there is not likely to be any major turnaround because companies are still restructuring and the structural problems on the labor market are still there.

137

Private consumption is likely to remain weak.

124

The labor market situation won't dramatically improve and oil prices are still a problem. Relatively weak consumption is one of the reasons why the German economy won't gather a lot of speed this year.

113

That will probably keep the ECB waiting until September, rather than going for a rate rise, as a done deal, every quarter.

74