It's one of the primary reasons we're having higher yields so far this year.

A rate increase at the March meeting is a done deal. We expect the yield on the 10-year to reach 4.75 percent.

Yields are moving higher in a response to an economy that is bouncing back. Inflation is still under control, but it's in the upper end of the Fed's comfort range.

The markets right now are facing a critical juncture and they're trying to determine if the strong economic growth we saw at the start of 2006 will continue.