Eurasia Group
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"Eurasia Group" is the world's largest political risk Political consulting/consultancy. Founded in 1998, it has offices in New York City/New York, Washington, D.C., London, and Tokyo and employs more than 150 full-time employees. The company also employs a network of 500 experts in 90 countries in Asia, Latin America, Europe and Eurasia, and the Middle East and Africa—a profile The Economist magazine calls "an inspiration for any academic with a seemingly useless degree in political science".

Eurasia Group is generally recognized to be the first to systematically bring political science as a discipline to Wall Street.[http://www.countryrisk.com/reviews/archives/000006.html Countryrisk.com Reviews: Eurasia Group] This approach includes the Eurasia Group Global Political Risk Index (GPRI)—the first qualitative comparative political and economic risk index designed specifically to measure stability in emerging markets. Developed over a ten-year period by experts in transitional politics and economics, the methodology provides an "early warning" system which helps anticipate critical trends and provides a measure for country capacity to withstand political, economic, security, and social shocks.[http://www.sais-jhu.edu/bin/s/s/WP-02-02b.pdf Assessing the Predictive Powers of Country Risk Ratings and Governance Indicators]

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Confirmation in Nigeria also raises doubts about the detection and reporting capabilities of northern and western African countries such as Ghana, Togo, Benin, Niger, Libya and Egypt.

Jockeying in the run-up to Nigeria's presidential elections and swelling violence in the unstable Niger Delta threaten the country's unity and could result in the break-up of the ruling party, damage regional stability and roil global oil markets.