We believe that since Intel's pre-announcement in early December that consumer and commercial demand has continued to get worse with commercial showing the most disturbing trends. In addition, we believe that servers, which had actually been on track for part of the quarter, saw some softening that we believe is related to corporate IT budget stretch outs.

Intel revenue and earnings per share were in line with our expectations, but consensus for 2001 will be slightly down revenue, which has not occurred since 1986.

We reiterate our buy rating with a $55 price target.

Contract manufacturers have seen their inventory grow 104 percent year-to-date, versus revenue growth of 52 percent, while distributors have seen a 24 percent increase in inventory in the past six months, versus a revenue increase of 15 percent.

We believe PC demand in the last two weeks of December was terrible, leading to lower expectations for 2001.

We continue to believe this is a second half story, but need to see revenue growth return year-over-year given this is the third-quarter in a row of revenue estimate reductions.

We believe both revenue growth and margins are within the range of guidance given in the third-quarter earnings release and feel comfortable with our estimates for the fourth quarter.

Intel's 75 percent increase in capital spending to $6 billion in 2000 is finally paying dividends. We believe that Intel now has the capacity to ship 15 percent more processor units quarter-over-quarter. We also believe that average selling prices are very firm for the third quarter.

We believe the semiconductor inventory correction is far from over.