People are already worried about supplies for the driving season, even this early on. There's going to be a price reaction if there are any signs of shortages.
There is still strong growth potential in metals commodities in 2006 and now is the time to make hay.
The push is on for commodities and that's being led by strong demand, but the trick is in picking the end of the cycle.
There are a couple of countervailing forces in play.
If you've got declining gas supply and people start burning more oil, then that's one thing, and then you've also got limited supply from Iraq. Suddenly there's a bit of supply news, and a bit of demand news, and it's the combination of those two that's pushing prices up.
People talk about stocks being relatively high in terms of the five-year averages, but it's not as rosy as those numbers suggest because the size of the economy, and therefore demand, has grown. There's still a perceived tightness in the market.
We're gonna be looking at making sure that the delivered price of natural gas is at levels that insure customers have the level of savings that they've been looking for.
Zinc is a lot stronger in terms of supply characteristics than the other metals.
Though crude seems sufficient at the moment it is the refining capacity that is the real bottleneck. Implied demand for refined products indicates a stronger market for crude oil.
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