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'How can you see something that isn't there?' yawned the Humbug, who wasn't fully awake yet. 'Sometimes it's much simpler than seeing things that are,' he said. 'For instance, if something is there, you can only see it with your eyes open, but if it isn't there, you can just as easily see it with your eyes closed.'Norton Juster
Projections are bullshit. They're just guesses. Wait until the real thing happens and then when it happens, then you can make the decision. Make decisions when you have a lot of information to make the decision. Not when you have to guess about what the decision is going to be or use data that doesn't exist yet.Jason Fried