Their vote is very inefficient -- it's spread out across the country in a way that doesn't give them a really good chance.

They're starting to have their desired impact. They are essentially reconnecting people to views they previously held about Stephen Harper, and that's easier than creating a whole new view of someone.

Clearly this week has been Harper's least effective week.

Canadians have real mixed feelings. They love Americans. They like trade. They like traveling in the U.S. On the other hand, Canadians want to remain a distinct country, and they want their government to stand up for Canadian interests.

What's interesting is how strong it is in the province of Quebec.

It means that given the trends in other parts of the country, B.C. is an increasingly important part of [the Liberals'] coalition of voters.

The Tories are starting to eat away at Liberal support in key geographic regions like Southwest Ontario and Eastern Ontario. You can also say that, if the Tories continue to creep up, they'll start to win more seats.

That's like saying George Bush has higher positives [ratings] in Massachusetts than in the state of Texas. It's stunning.

It's very significant. It would mean, at this point, a tremendous loss of seats for the Liberals (in Ontario).