Warm water alone doesn't mean a lot of activity. A lot of things have to happen for a tropical cyclone to develop.
This is the second warmest year we've ever seen over the tropical Atlantic. It's pretty toasty out there.
Information obtained through the end of March continues to indicate that the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season will be much more active than the average 1950-2000 season.
About twice an average season. The Atlantic is still warm, although not as warm as last year.
It was these favorable Atlantic steering currents that caused so many of the major hurricanes that formed to come ashore.
I'm sure people are curious what has happened in the past in their area. They want to know what it means for them. This helps them.
It is rare to have two consecutive years with such a strong simultaneous combination of high amounts of major hurricane activity together with especially favorable steering flow currents. The historical records and the laws of statistics indicate that the probability of seeing another two consecutive hurricane seasons like 2004-2005 is very low.
Since 1995, it's been mostly active, and this year is a clear example of that.
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