Tourist arrivals could reach 13 million in 2006 at best, or approximately a 12.0 per cent increase from last year.

More tourists will cancel their trips if we can't re-establish their confidence.

The federation is concerned that the job situation for the more than 100,000 people working in the industry may be affected if the situation worsens.

Even without the political threat, we expect only 12.5 million tourist arrivals this year due mainly to high oil prices.