Inflation is still higher than nominal interest rates, and this is a clear sign that monetary conditions are highly accommodative in Malaysia and the need for interest rates to return to a neutral level.

What the alleged coup failed to do, in terms of weakening the peso, the president managed to. Clearly, this is detrimental to foreign sentiment.

Clearly this is detrimental to foreign sentiment.

This is the start of a hiking cycle. A series of small hikes will follow until inflation falls below 3%.

Inflation is still a real and present threat to the economy.

If China wants to fend off political pressure, it would have to say it wants a more significant yuan appreciation.

It should not be introduced at high levels, where it will shock the economy. Instead, the GST should be gradually eased in and the list of taxable goods expanded over time.

These indicators tend to have a lead-lag of three to six months. We still may have sufficient strength in exports in the first quarter and even into the second.

There is sufficient strength in the economy to take growth to at least five percent this year.