Australia's trying to tread a tightrope between our various trading interests and our strategic alliances.

There's no point him mounting a leadership challenge that he's going to lose. He has no choice but to wait until Howard decides to go.

My read on it would be, yes, (Howard) is paving the way for a possible change of policy. Whether he does or not depends on how people react to it.

I would definitely see us selling uranium to China before we'd count on selling it to India.