There isn't the spare capacity to make up for the missing production in the Gulf of Mexico. OPEC used to have 4 to 5 million barrels of spare capacity. That's down to about 1.5 million barrels a day this year.

248

We had a warm start to the winter but now it is starting to look a bit ugly. The focus will be on cold weather for some time to come.

212

If we get a normal winter, we'll probably have enough inventories, but if we get a very harsh winter, inventories could collapse to unseen levels. The oil market would be very jittery with any supply disruptions.

210

The expectation for an inventory build is built in across all the product areas with an outside risk of a surprise on heating oil.

177

Nigeria has always been a difficult place and now they have targeted the offshore platforms. They've never done that before. Obviously, that's very dangerous.

123

We've been hearing about restarts and the system will be slowly getting back on its feet. There is a deficit of supply so anything that comes from outside the U.S. is going to be required and will help the situation.

87